Chelsea are predicted to finish fifth in the 2025-26 Premier League with 64 points, according to our Enhanced Random Forest analysis. This represents a 1-point improvement on their 2024-25 campaign and suggests the Blues are building momentum under their current management structure.
Chelsea's Europa League Return
The predicted 64 points represents a 1-point improvement and shows Chelsea's ability to compete at the highest level. Their attacking output of 78 goals demonstrates the quality in their squad, particularly in forward areas.
Key Performance Indicators
Attacking Strength
78 goals scored shows Chelsea's attacking quality and depth. This suggests they've addressed the goal-scoring issues that plagued them in previous seasons.
Defensive Organization
64 goals conceded represents solid defensive organization. While not elite, this defensive record provides the foundation for consistent results.
Why Fifth Place Makes Sense
A fifth-place finish would represent a successful season for Chelsea and validate their long-term strategy. The model suggests they've found the right balance between attack and defense, with room for further improvement.
The prediction of 18 wins, 11 draws, and 9 losses shows Chelsea will win the games they should win while maintaining consistency against mid-table opposition.
What This Means for Chelsea
A fifth-place finish would represent continued progress for Chelsea and suggest they're building a sustainable model for success. The attacking improvement shows they've addressed key weaknesses while maintaining defensive solidity.