Burnley vs Aston Villa Match Preview
Burnley host Aston Villa in England's Premier League (36) on Saturday, 9 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 14:00. The match will take place at Turf Moor.
Burnley currently sit 19th in the 2025/2026 standings, while Aston Villa occupy 5th position. This match presents a classic David vs Goliath scenario, with contrasting league positions adding intrigue to the contest.
Football fans looking for the best Burnley vs Aston Villa odds will find comprehensive betting markets and analysis below. We compare odds from leading bookmakers to help you find the best value for this Premier League fixture, alongside detailed head-to-head statistics, recent form guides, and expert insights.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Betting Odds
We have compared Burnley vs Aston Villa odds across 1 bookmakers to find the best available prices. The best odds for a Burnley win are currently 5.25 with bet365 (implied probability: 19%). The draw is priced at 3.90 with bet365. An Aston Villa victory can be backed at odds of 1.61 with bet365.
Win Probability
Aston Villa are the bookmakers' favourites for this match at odds of 1.61, giving them an implied probability of approximately 62% to win. Aston Villa are clear favourites for this fixture, with bookmakers giving Burnley only an outside chance of victory.
Looking at the goals markets for this Burnley vs Aston Villa match: Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.72 with bet365, while Under 2.5 goals is priced at 2.10. For the Both Teams to Score market, BTTS Yes offers odds of 1.75, with BTTS No at 2.00.
Goals Market Probability
Both Teams to Score
When evaluating betting value for the Burnley vs Aston Villa fixture, consider factors beyond just the odds. Recent form, head-to-head history, team news, and home advantage all play crucial roles in determining the true probability of each outcome. The odds displayed are the best available from our comparison of major bookmakers and represent the highest potential returns for each market selection.
The Burnley vs Aston Villa head-to-head record spans 1 previous meetings.Burnley have won 0 of these encounters, with Aston Villa claiming 1 victories, and 0 matches ending in draws.
Head-to-Head Record
In terms of goals, these fixtures have produced a combined 3 goals across all meetings, averaging 3.00 goals per match.Burnley have scored 1 goals in total, while Aston Villa have netted 2.
Total Goals Scored
The most recent results in this fixture read: 1-2 (5 Oct 2025). These scorelines provide valuable context for punters considering Burnley vs Aston Villa odds and predictions.
Burnley & Aston Villa Form Guide
Burnley come into this fixture struggling badly, with a recent record reading L-L-L-D-L (most recent first). In the current campaign, they have accumulated 20 points from 35 matches, recording 4 wins, 23 draws, and 8 losses. Their goal record shows 35 scored and 71 conceded. Burnley have maintained consistent performances, showing little variation in their recent results.
Aston Villa are currently showing inconsistent form, showing a form line of L-W-W-L-D in their last five outings. This season, they sit on 58 points after 17 victories, 10 draws, and 7 defeats. They have found the net 47 times while conceding 42 goals. Aston Villa have maintained consistent performances, showing little variation in their recent results.
Looking at venue-specific form: Burnley have a home record of 2W-26D-10L, scoring 2 and conceding 13 at home. Aston Villa travel with an away record of 2W-17D-27L, netting 5 and shipping 20 on their travels.
Comparing the two sides' form heading into this Burnley vs Aston Villa clash: Aston Villa hold the edge in terms of recent results. These form patterns are essential considerations when evaluating Burnley vs Aston Villa odds and predictions.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Statistical Analysis
Analysing the attacking output this season: Burnley have been modest in front of goal, scoring 35 goals in 35 matches at an average of 1.00 per game. Aston Villa have netted 47 times from 34 outings, averaging 1.38 goals per match. This gives a combined goals average of 2.38 per game when both teams' attacking records are considered.
On the defensive side: Burnley have displayed porous defensive performances, conceding 71 goals at a rate of 2.03 per match. Aston Villa have shipped 42 goals, averaging 1.24 conceded per game.
The goal difference tells an interesting story: Burnley sit at -36, while Aston Villa have a goal difference of +5. This significant gap suggests one side has been notably more dominant overall.
For the Over/Under 2.5 goals market: Statistical analysis suggests goals are likely in this fixture, with both teams contributing to an open contest. The combined goals per game for these teams sits at 2.38, while the combined concession rate is 3.26.
Regarding the Both Teams to Score market: Both teams score regularly and rarely keep clean sheets, making BTTS Yes an appealing selection. These statistics should inform your approach to the BTTS market for this Burnley vs Aston Villa fixture.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Key Players to Watch
When evaluating Burnley vs Aston Villa odds, understanding each team's attacking capabilities is crucial. Burnley have demonstrated a modest goal output this season, averaging 1.00 goals per game. Their key forwards will be looking to add to this tally against Aston Villa. Aston Villa present a modest goal output with 1.38 goals per match. Their attacking players will be crucial to any away success.
Defensively, the contrast is also significant for this Premier League fixture. Burnley boast a leaky backline, conceding just 2.03 goals per game. Their defensive leaders will need to be at their best to maintain this record. Aston Villa have shown a reasonably secure defence, shipping 1.24 per match.
Confirmed lineups for Burnley vs Aston Villa will be available approximately one hour before kick-off. Team news and any late injury updates could significantly impact the betting odds, so checking the latest squad information is recommended before placing any wagers. Keep an eye on potential absences among key performers for both sides, as these can shift the balance ofBurnley vs Aston Villa predictions.
When looking at goalscorer markets for this fixture, consider players who have performed consistently throughout the 2025/2026 campaign. Form, playing time, and tactical roles all factor into identifying value in player-specific betting markets.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Betting Tips & Insights
Season Statistics
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Analysis: Our data analysis suggests Over 2.5 goals could offer value in this Burnley vs Aston Villa fixture. The statistics support this because historical head-to-head meetings have averaged over 3 goals and defences are susceptible. The best Over 2.5 odds are 1.72. Under 2.5 is available at 2.10.
Both Teams to Score Analysis: BTTS Yes looks like a promising selection for the Burnley vs Aston Villa betting markets. Our analysis indicates this because both teams have scored in most previous meetings. BTTS Yes odds stand at 1.75, with BTTS No at 2.00.
Match Winner Considerations: Home advantage is always a factor to consider, particularly when evaluating Burnley vs Aston Villa odds and predictions.
Finding Value: When betting on Burnley vs Aston Villa, always compare odds across multiple bookmakers to ensure you're getting the best price. Our odds comparison shows prices from leading bookmakers, highlighting where the best value lies for each market. Remember that odds can shift significantly as kick-off approaches, particularly following team news or significant betting patterns. Responsible gambling practices should always be observed.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Betting Streaks & Trends
Recent Match Trends
Burnley
Aston VillaHead-to-Head Streaks
Goals Market Trends: Looking at recent form for the Burnley vs Aston Villa betting markets reveals interesting patterns. Aston Villa matches have seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 games (86%). These trends provide valuable context when considering Over/Under betting markets.
Form & Results: Current form plays a significant role in match outcome betting. Burnley have no wins in 6 consecutive matches. These runs inform match winner and draw no bet selections.
Head-to-Head Betting Trends: Historical meetings between Burnley and Aston Villa reveal betting market patterns. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1/1 of their meetings, suggesting an entertaining fixture. Both teams scored in 1/1 fixtures, supporting BTTS Yes considerations.
Using Streaks for Betting: While past performance doesn't guarantee future results, betting streaks provide statistical context for the Burnley vs Aston Villa odds. Combine these trends with current odds, team news, and other factors when making betting decisions. Streaks can highlight value opportunities where bookmaker odds may not fully reflect recent patterns.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction
Our data-driven analysis of the Burnley vs Aston Villa Premier League fixture strongly points towards a Aston Villa win. Based on our evaluation of form, league position, head-to-head history, and betting market movements, we predict a scoreline of 1-2.
The key factors behind this Burnley vs Aston Villa prediction include: Aston Villa arrive in better form; Aston Villa have a significant league advantage; home advantage is a factor; odds suggest the visitors are favourites.
While our analysis shows strong indicators for this outcome, football remains unpredictable. The statistical evidence is compelling, but factors such as late injuries, tactical adjustments, and match-day conditions can always influence results.
For the complete picture on Burnley vs Aston Villa odds and betting markets, compare prices from top bookmakers above. Remember to check team news closer to kick-off as lineup confirmations can significantly impact predictions and odds. Always gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.