Napoli vs Fiorentina Match Preview
Napoli host Fiorentina in Italy's Serie A (23) on Saturday, 31 January 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00. The match will take place at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Napoli currently sit 3rd in the 2025/2026 standings, while Fiorentina occupy 18th position. This match presents a classic David vs Goliath scenario, with contrasting league positions adding intrigue to the contest.
Football fans looking for the best Napoli vs Fiorentina odds will find comprehensive betting markets and analysis below. We compare odds from leading bookmakers to help you find the best value for this Serie A fixture, alongside detailed head-to-head statistics, recent form guides, and expert insights.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Betting Odds
We have compared Napoli vs Fiorentina odds across 1 bookmakers to find the best available prices. The best odds for a Napoli win are currently 1.70 with bet365 (implied probability: 59%). The draw is priced at 3.60 with bet365. An Fiorentina victory can be backed at odds of 5.00 with bet365.
Win Probability
Napoli are the bookmakers' favourites for this match at odds of 1.70, giving them an implied probability of approximately 59% to win. Napoli are clear favourites for this fixture, with bookmakers giving Fiorentina only an outside chance of victory.
Looking at the goals markets for this Napoli vs Fiorentina match: Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.00 with bet365, while Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.80. For the Both Teams to Score market, BTTS Yes offers odds of 1.95, with BTTS No at 1.80.
Goals Market Probability
Both Teams to Score
When evaluating betting value for the Napoli vs Fiorentina fixture, consider factors beyond just the odds. Recent form, head-to-head history, team news, and home advantage all play crucial roles in determining the true probability of each outcome. The odds displayed are the best available from our comparison of major bookmakers and represent the highest potential returns for each market selection.
The Napoli vs Fiorentina head-to-head record spans 1 previous meetings.Napoli have won 1 of these encounters, with Fiorentina claiming 0 victories, and 0 matches ending in draws.
Head-to-Head Record
In terms of goals, these fixtures have produced a combined 4 goals across all meetings, averaging 4.00 goals per match.Napoli have scored 3 goals in total, while Fiorentina have netted 1.
Total Goals Scored
The most recent results in this fixture read: 3-1 (13 Sept 2025). These scorelines provide valuable context for punters considering Napoli vs Fiorentina odds and predictions.
Napoli & Fiorentina Form Guide
Napoli come into this fixture in good form, with a recent record reading W-W-W-L-D (most recent first). In the current campaign, they have accumulated 43 points from 22 matches, recording 13 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. Their goal record shows 31 scored and 20 conceded. Napoli appear to be hitting their stride, with their recent results showing improvement on earlier performances.
Fiorentina are currently on a poor run, showing a form line of D-L-L-L-D in their last five outings. This season, they sit on 17 points after 3 victories, 11 draws, and 8 defeats. They have found the net 24 times while conceding 34 goals. Fiorentina have maintained consistent performances, showing little variation in their recent results.
Looking at venue-specific form: Napoli have a home record of 7W-8D-0L, scoring 6 and conceding 5 at home. Fiorentina travel with an away record of 3W-11D-15L, netting 5 and shipping 9 on their travels.
Comparing the two sides' form heading into this Napoli vs Fiorentina clash: Napoli boast a superior record and enter as the form side. These form patterns are essential considerations when evaluating Napoli vs Fiorentina odds and predictions.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Statistical Analysis
Analysing the attacking output this season: Napoli have been modest in front of goal, scoring 31 goals in 22 matches at an average of 1.41 per game. Fiorentina have netted 24 times from 22 outings, averaging 1.09 goals per match. This gives a combined goals average of 2.50 per game when both teams' attacking records are considered.
On the defensive side: Napoli have displayed excellent defensive performances, conceding 20 goals at a rate of 0.91 per match. Fiorentina have shipped 34 goals, averaging 1.55 conceded per game.
The goal difference tells an interesting story: Napoli sit at +11, while Fiorentina have a goal difference of -10. This significant gap suggests one side has been notably more dominant overall.
For the Over/Under 2.5 goals market: The statistics suggest a balanced fixture where either outcome in the goals market is plausible. The combined goals per game for these teams sits at 2.50, while the combined concession rate is 2.45.
Regarding the Both Teams to Score market: Both teams score regularly and rarely keep clean sheets, making BTTS Yes an appealing selection. These statistics should inform your approach to the BTTS market for this Napoli vs Fiorentina fixture.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Key Players to Watch
When evaluating Napoli vs Fiorentina odds, understanding each team's attacking capabilities is crucial. Napoli have demonstrated a modest goal output this season, averaging 1.41 goals per game. Their key forwards will be looking to add to this tally against Fiorentina. Fiorentina present a modest goal output with 1.09 goals per match. Their attacking players will be crucial to any away success.
Defensively, the contrast is also significant for this Serie A fixture. Napoli boast a solid defensive unit, conceding just 0.91 goals per game. Their defensive leaders will need to be at their best to maintain this record. Fiorentina have shown a occasionally vulnerable defence, shipping 1.55 per match.
Confirmed lineups for Napoli vs Fiorentina will be available approximately one hour before kick-off. Team news and any late injury updates could significantly impact the betting odds, so checking the latest squad information is recommended before placing any wagers. Keep an eye on potential absences among key performers for both sides, as these can shift the balance ofNapoli vs Fiorentina predictions.
When looking at goalscorer markets for this fixture, consider players who have performed consistently throughout the 2025/2026 campaign. Form, playing time, and tactical roles all factor into identifying value in player-specific betting markets.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Betting Tips & Insights
Season Statistics
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Analysis: Our data analysis suggests Over 2.5 goals could offer value in this Napoli vs Fiorentina fixture. The statistics support this because historical head-to-head meetings have averaged over 3 goals. The best Over 2.5 odds are 2.00. Under 2.5 is available at 1.80.
Both Teams to Score Analysis: BTTS Yes looks like a promising selection for the Napoli vs Fiorentina betting markets. Our analysis indicates this because both teams have scored in most previous meetings. BTTS Yes odds stand at 1.95, with BTTS No at 1.80.
Match Winner Considerations: Napoli have won over half their matches this season, making them a solid option for the match winner market. Fiorentina have proven they can win on the road with 3 away victories this campaign. Napoli's home form shows 7 home wins, suggesting home advantage could be significant. Home advantage is always a factor to consider, particularly when evaluating Napoli vs Fiorentina odds and predictions.
Finding Value: When betting on Napoli vs Fiorentina, always compare odds across multiple bookmakers to ensure you're getting the best price. Our odds comparison shows prices from leading bookmakers, highlighting where the best value lies for each market. Remember that odds can shift significantly as kick-off approaches, particularly following team news or significant betting patterns. Responsible gambling practices should always be observed.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Betting Streaks & Trends
Recent Match Trends
Napoli
FiorentinaHead-to-Head Streaks
Both Teams to Score Patterns: The BTTS market shows clear tendencies for both teams. Fiorentina fixtures have seen both teams scored in 5/7 recent matches. This data is crucial for BTTS betting on Napoli vs Fiorentina.
Form & Results: Current form plays a significant role in match outcome betting. Napoli have no wins in 5 consecutive matches. These runs inform match winner and draw no bet selections.
Head-to-Head Betting Trends: Historical meetings between Napoli and Fiorentina reveal betting market patterns. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1/1 of their meetings, suggesting an entertaining fixture. Both teams scored in 1/1 fixtures, supporting BTTS Yes considerations.
Using Streaks for Betting: While past performance doesn't guarantee future results, betting streaks provide statistical context for the Napoli vs Fiorentina odds. Combine these trends with current odds, team news, and other factors when making betting decisions. Streaks can highlight value opportunities where bookmaker odds may not fully reflect recent patterns.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction
Our data-driven analysis of the Napoli vs Fiorentina Serie A fixture strongly points towards a Napoli win. Based on our evaluation of form, league position, head-to-head history, and betting market movements, we predict a scoreline of 2-1.
The key factors behind this Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction include: Napoli are in superior form; Napoli sit significantly higher in the table; home advantage is a factor; bookmakers strongly favour the hosts.
While our analysis shows strong indicators for this outcome, football remains unpredictable. The statistical evidence is compelling, but factors such as late injuries, tactical adjustments, and match-day conditions can always influence results.
For the complete picture on Napoli vs Fiorentina odds and betting markets, compare prices from top bookmakers above. Remember to check team news closer to kick-off as lineup confirmations can significantly impact predictions and odds. Always gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.