Complete La Liga Matchday 4 preview for September 12-15, 2025. Barcelona heavy favorites vs Valencia, Real Madrid face Real Sociedad test, plus Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal. All weekend betting markets and expert predictions.
La Liga returns from the international break with Matchday 4 action spanning September 12-15, 2025. Barcelona host Valencia as overwhelming favorites at 1.23, Real Madrid face a tricky trip to Real Sociedad, and Atlético Madrid entertain Villarreal in a tactical battle. With the title race already taking shape after just three rounds, every point becomes crucial as Spain's elite navigate a packed fixture list.
Barcelona are massive 1.23 favorites against Valencia, Real Madrid face their first real test at Real Sociedad (1.50-1.64 to win), and the weekend kicks off with Sevilla vs Elche on Friday night. Early season form suggests surprises could be in store.
Barcelona entertain Valencia on Sunday, September 14, as prohibitive 1.23-1.24 favorites, with the draw priced at 7.85-8.05 and Valencia's upset odds stretching to 13.5-14.5. These odds reflect Barcelona's dominant home form and Valencia's struggles on the road.
Xavi's side need to capitalize on home fixtures like this after dropping points to Rayo Vallecano before the break. Valencia, under Rubén Baraja, will set up defensively and look to frustrate, but Barcelona's quality should overwhelm them eventually. The 1.23 odds imply an 81% probability of victory – perhaps even conservative given the gulf in class.
Real Madrid's trip to San Sebastián on Saturday represents their toughest test yet, with Los Blancos priced between 1.50-1.64 to maintain their perfect start. Real Sociedad's home odds of 5.2-6.5 and the draw at 3.9-4.25 suggest this could be closer than Madrid would like.
Anoeta has been a difficult venue for Real Madrid historically, and Imanol Alguacil's well-drilled side will look to exploit any complacency. The 1.64 odds on Madrid suggest a 61% probability of victory – fair given their quality but acknowledging Sociedad's home strength.
La Liga's weekend begins Friday night with Sevilla hosting Elche, with the home side favored at 2.10-2.19. Elche's odds of 3.55-3.57 and the draw at 3.50-3.59 suggest a competitive fixture despite the league table disparity.
Sevilla's inconsistent start makes them vulnerable, and these odds reflect uncertainty about their true level. Value seekers might consider the draw at 3.59 or Elche double chance, especially if Sevilla's team news reveals any injury concerns from international duty.
Barcelona at 1.23 offers minimal returns but remains a solid accumulator anchor. Consider Barcelona -1.5 handicap or Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals for enhanced value. Valencia's defensive approach could limit goals, so choose markets carefully. Footbodds provides detailed market analysis to identify the best Barcelona betting angles.
Real Madrid at 1.50-1.64 away to Real Sociedad carries risk given the venue's difficulty. The draw at 4.25 offers better value for a traditionally tight fixture. Consider Real Madrid draw no bet for safety or under 2.5 goals given both teams' solid defenses. Visit Footbodds for comprehensive away form statistics and trends.
The balanced odds across all three outcomes (Sevilla 2.19, Draw 3.59, Elche 3.57) suggest genuine uncertainty. The draw at 3.59 offers excellent value given Sevilla's inconsistency. Elche double chance could also pay off. Footbodds' form guide helps identify which way this evenly-matched fixture might swing.
Combining Barcelona (1.23) with Real Madrid (1.60) creates a double around 1.97 – reasonable but not spectacular. Adding Atlético Madrid (likely 1.80) pushes this to approximately 3.55. For value, consider mixing in draws or both teams to score markets. Footbodds' accumulator builder optimizes selections for maximum returns.
International breaks create uncertainty with Spanish clubs providing many players. South American internationals face jet lag, potentially affecting Real Madrid and Barcelona. Teams with fewer internationals might have advantages. Monitor team news closely via Footbodds for late changes affecting odds.
